When a storm brews in the ocean, one of the first questions on everyone’s mind is: Whichever becomes a hurricane?
They have to employ a number of tools, knowledge, and skills so as to predict if the tropical storm will develop into a hurricane.
Understanding the Basics
A hurricane is defined as a tropical cyclone with an organized, strong wind, a great amount of rain, and a circular pattern. A hurricane refers to a storm with winds that have to be of a certain force, a force that must be at least 74 mph or 119 km/h for it to be so classified.
However, there are certain factors that determine whether such a storm will attain this threshold in advance.
Satellite Imagery in the Model
Weather forecasters receive important information on developing storms in the form of satellite pictures. These high resolutions enable them to monitor the size, structure, and pattern of the S74 torm. That means any concrete change in its form, the presence of which is deciphered as the development of the so-called formation of a clear, circular central eye—the eye wall—signifies the storm’s strength.
Computer Models and Simulations
A storm chaser or meterologist uses complex computer simulations to estimate the storm’s behavior and development. These models include the analysis of different data, for example, sea surface temperature, atmospheric pressure, and wind data.
Monitoring Environmental Conditions
Several conditions in the environment determine whether a storm will qualify as a hurricane. Sea surface temperature is another important factor; warm water, as a rule, contributes to storm formation. They also measure the humidity in the air, which determines the intensity of the storm.
The History Data: Its Role
One of the vital factors that go into the prediction of hurricanes is information that is generated from history. Specialists in the weather compare the present storm situation with previous storms to determine their chances of formation.
They can use experience from past years to be in a position to forecast the kind of storm that may occur. For instance, if the present storm can be put in one or many categories of a past hurricane, it can be deduced, or maybe expected, if it will follow a similar track.
Continuous Updates and Warnings
Since storms are dynamic systems, meteorologists give constant reports. Hence, while alerting the public, they employ satellite data, a special reflection aeroplane often used to fly into the storm, real data, and computer image models. Alerts and advisories are published when necessary in relation to a storm, depending on the possible consequences.
ASH CK